[kkkleung]

I think DV may disappear because of slow response (forward and backward rewind) of DV tape and also subject to below conditions:

1) the price of large capacity microdrive drop to acceptable level. Let's say 4 GB MD drops to HK$500 or 10 GB MD costs HK$1000 (may be 10 - 20 years later).

2) the movie resolution of DC is higher than DVD quality (720 x 576 @ 25 fps or 720 x 480 @ 29.97 fps). Nowadays, the movie quality of many DCs as high as 640 x 480 @ 30 fps. For Minolta DiMAGE Z2, the movie quality is 800 x 600 @ 15 fps.

[老叟]

I don't think so!!
They are individual and can't kill each other!!

[X100]

kkkleung 兄, 兩者有朝一日可能會合拼, 但現在你想的假設太理論性了
For Z2, 800x600解像度係高, 但只得15fps播起來唔暢順, 同DV的25fps還有很大距離
記憶體是不停在下調, 不過正如你說要10年8年後才可跟現時不用$20便買到一盒DV相比, 到時DV可能已被HDTV完全取代了